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Case Code: FINC132
Case Length: 18 Pages 
Period: 2007-2017    
Pub Date: 2018
Teaching Note: Available
Price:Rs.500
Organization : -
Industry : Security Analysis, Investment Banking
Countries : India
Themes: Equity valuation/ Security analysis
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EIC Framework: Economic Analysis of India

 

ABSTRACT

 
This case study is the first in a series of three cases studies that cover the EIC framework for Fundamental Analysis. This case study covers the Economic Analysis part of the EIC framework. It includes various aspects of the Indian economy which once again became the fastest growing economy in the world in last quarter of 2017. A survey by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development stated that India would remain among the top three investment destination globally till 2019. So, it seemed like a good idea for investors to invest in the Indian stock market and cash in on the opportunity. However, poor infrastructure, corruption, increase in the number of unemployed people, low per hectare yield of agriculture sector, a weak currency, fall in non-food credit growth, and piling up of bad debts in the Indian banking sector could hurt the future growth of the Indian economy. So, the question in front of investors is whether to invest in the Indian stock market or not.
 
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Issues

The case is structured to achieve the following teaching objectives:
  • To understand the significance of economic analysis in the EIC framework
  • To understand the dynamics of economic analysis
  • To explore whether it is prudent to invest in the Indian stock market or not
Contents
INTRODUCTION
OVERVIEW OF GLOBAL ECONOMY
OVERVIEW OF INDIAN ECONOMY
POLITICAL SYSTEM AND GOVERNMENT
SOVEREIGN RATING
DEMOGRAPHY
AGRICULTURE AND MONSOON
EMPLOYMENT
PER CAPITA INCOME AND PURCHASING POWER PARITY
PERSONAL DISPOSABLE INCOME AND NATIONAL SAVINGS
INFLATION RATE
INTEREST RATE
EXCHANGE RATE
CRUDE OIL PRICES
FDI AND FII
FISCAL POLICY
FOREIGN TRADE POLICY 2015-2020
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
CHALLENGES FOR THE ECONOMY
EXHIBITS

Keywords

Global economy, Balance of Payment, Demography, Sovereign Rating, Agriculture, Employment, Per Capita Income, Purchasing Power Parity, Personal Disposable Income, National Savings, Inflation Rate, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Fiscal Policy, Foreign Trade Policy

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