Introduction to Quantitative Methods
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<< Chapter 9
Concepts of Probability : Chapter 10
SUMMARY:
The concepts of probability were first developed to assist gamblers in games of chance such as throwing dice or tossing a coin. However, the concepts were later applied in several areas of management and space technology.
Probability concepts can be broadly classified into three majority types based on the approaches to the study of probability theory: classical approach, relative frequency approach and subjective approach. This chapter discussed the rules of probability. This chapter also discusses the Bayes’ theorem of probability.
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Concepts of Probability - An Overview
Basic probability Concepts
Experiment
Random Experiment
Possible Outcome
Event
Elementary Event
Compound Event
Favorable Event
Mutually Exclusive Events
Dependent or Independent Events
Exhaustive Events
Equally Likely Events
Complementary Events
Types of Probability
Classical Approach
Relative Frequency of Occurrence Approach
Subjective Approach
Probability Rules
The Addition Rule
General Rule
Multiplication Rule
Bayes' Theorem
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